Palm Pre (Front and Back)Douglas A. McIntyre of 24/7 Wall Street wrote a prediction on what brands would be meeting their demise before the end of the year. Palm ranks 10th out of the 12 brands mentioned.

Will the Palm Pre be the company’s hidden gold mine after all these years? Or will it suffer a terrible fate like Circuit City?

Here is what Douglas A. McIntyre says about Palm:

10. Palm (PALM) has been at death’s door for some time. It prospects have improved recently and the company has one last chance to become viable when it launches its new “Pre” product. Recent research shows that almost no one who owns an Apple (AAPL) iPhone or RIM (RIMM) Blackberry will switch to the new smartphone, so Palm will have to essentially expand the market to get share for its new device during a recession.  The “Pre” will also be sold exclusively though Sprint (S), the No.3 cellular carrier in the US which has been losing subscribers consistently for more than two years. The launch of the “Pre” is a disaster in the making. Palm’s results for the quarter that ended on February 27th were awful, failing to meet Wall St’s modest expectations. Palm sold only 482,000 handsets for the period, down 42% from the same quarter the year before. Revenue dropped from $312 million to $91 million, and Palm lost $95 million. Palm brought in just over $100 million with the help of its largest shareholder, Elevation Partners, in a recent financing. The bottom line is that Palm has no chance of getting an even modest part of the smartphone market in a severe economic downturn since it competes with two of the premier technology companies in the world—Apple and RIM. Palm won’t be in business in a year.

While it is true that Palm has strong competitors such as RIM and Apple, we can never really tell if they’re going to tank in a year, just look at the iPhone did for Apple. Who knows, their new webOS might revolutionize the software industry.

So Sprint better get that Palm Pre out and rolling before other updated devices (new iPhone’s, new BlackBerry’s) enter the market! And hopefully they don’t keep the Palm Pre from being CDMA and Sprint exclusive for long, there’s a whole new market with the GSM industry!

[in reaction to Palm To Meet Circuit City In Tech Heaven?]

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